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2023
Mar 21 Why didn't we get GPT-2 in 2005?
Mar 6 First-principles on AI scaling
Mar 3 Your friend the language model
Jan 19 Winner take all science
Jan 5 Buy more copies
2022
Dec 24 Things to argue about over the holidays instead of politics
Dec 15 Advice on being managed
Dec 8 Historical analogies for large language models
Dec 1 Valid arguments with invalid conclusions
Nov 24 Underrated reasons to be thankful
Oct 27 A modest proposal: For preventing the heat in bathwater in Britain
Oct 14 How much does a CT scan affect life expectancy?
Oct 6 Prediction market does not imply causation
Sep 29 The anxiety of the moderate
Sep 23 The conspiratorial Monty Hall problem
Sep 19 Why ‟controlling for a variable” doesn't (usually) work
Sep 8 Effectiveness beats accuracy
Sep 1 Does gratitude increase happiness?
Aug 22 358 games of puzzle storm
Aug 15 Rules for weird ideas
Aug 11 A model for journalistic copypasta
Aug 8 Shorts for August
Aug 4 Old jokes
Aug 1 No soap radio
Jul 28 Nobody optimizes happiness
Jul 25 Litter and circles of internalization
Jul 21 Notes on the Balkans
Jul 18 What I learned trying to classify abortion access across the rich world
Jul 11 Thoughts on the potato diet
Jul 7 Shorts for July
Jul 4 Blocked persons and letters of marque
Jun 27 Candidate final bosses
Jun 20 Contra Wirecutter on the IKEA air purifier
Jun 16 Aspartame: Once more unto the breach
Jun 13 Diet Coke probably isn't a cognitive performance enhancer
Jun 9 Why it's bad to kill Grandma
Jun 6 Social dynamics of bluetooth speakers
Jun 2 Shorts for June
May 30 What caused the hallucinations of the Oracle of Delphi?
May 26 Don't blame ethylene for bad tomatoes
May 23 Why is it traitorous to understand the people you disagree with? Six models
May 19 The madness of reduced medical diagnostics
May 16 Why nuclear weapons aren't getting bigger
May 11 So you want to invent a nuclear weapon
May 9 Ethylene in the food supply chain
May 5 Ethylene for fun and profit and produce
Apr 5 My attempted cult recruitment
Apr 4 Creative nonfiction training exercises
Apr 1 Why I don't believe in long-term thinking
Mar 24 Arguing without warning
Mar 21 You, your parents, and the hotness of who you marry
Mar 17 How I learned to stop worrying and structure all writing as a list
Mar 11 Teaching is a slow process of becoming everything you hate
Mar 7 Do economies tend to converge or diverge?
Feb 14 So you're thinking about writing on the internet
Feb 14 Warby Parker multiverse
Feb 9 A summary of the research on gas stoves and health
Feb 1 Reasons and Persons: The case against the self
Jan 24 How to use analogies for good not evil
Jan 10 Things you're doing but don't want to be doing
2021
Dec 21 Homosexuality and evolution
Dec 14 Plans you're not supposed to talk about
Dec 7 Reasons and Persons: Watch theories eat themselves
Dec 2 How many extra days of life do you get from taking statins?
Nov 30 Effective selfishness
Nov 26 How the United States didn't ban the death penalty
Nov 25 Underrated reasons to be thankful
Nov 24 How France banned the death penalty
Nov 23 How the United Kingdom banned the death penalty
Nov 22 How Germany banned the death penalty
Nov 22 The death penalty as a lens on democracy
Nov 11 A breakdown of the data on the homeless crisis across the U.S.
Oct 26 The main thing about P2P meth is that there's so much of it
Oct 20 Two conspiracy theories about cola
Oct 4 The big alcohol study that didn't happen: My primal scream of rage
Aug 26 Statistical nihilism and culture-war island hopping
Aug 19 Political polarization is partly a sample bias illusion
Aug 17 General factors of intelligence and physical fitness
Jul 15 It’s perfectly valid for a trait to be more than 100% heritable
Jul 1 Does the gender-equality paradox actually exist?
Jun 17 A review of early split-brain experiments
May 30 Alcohol, health, and the ruthless logic of the Asian flush
May 6 Are some personalities just better?
Apr 18 The case against ultrasonic humidifiers
Apr 14 The irrelevance of test scores is greatly exaggerated
Apr 2 Better air quality is the easiest way not to die
Feb 26 The Cuboid: A DIY air purifier that's better than a box-fan
Feb 7 What I learned from reading about writing
Jan 28 Are ethics all a lie?
Jan 25 How to run without all the pesky agonizing pain
Jan 15 What happens if you don't fill out that ethnicity form?
2020
Dec 22 Napoleon's failure in Russia as an analogy for T-cell based viral immunity
Dec 15 Experiments on a $50 DIY air purifier you can make in 30s
Dec 9 Sales tax creates more unnecessary pain than value added tax
Dec 3 Why I'm skeptical of universal basic income
Nov 23 Why fairness is basically unobservable
Nov 21 Policy proposals and what we don't know about them
Nov 16 Simpson's paradox all the way down
Oct 30 The simplest possible way to convert Celsius and Fahrenheit
Oct 29 Pragmatic reasons to believe in formal ethics
Oct 19 It's hard to use utility maximization to justify creating new sentient beings
Oct 12 The veil of darkness
Oct 8 Your ratios don't prove what you think they prove
Sep 29 Doing discourse better: Stuff I wish I knew
Sep 17 Making the Monty Hall problem weirder but obvious
Sep 14 What happens if you drink acetone?
Sep 11 Comparative advantage and when to blow up your island
Jun 12 In defense of Myers-Briggs